Obama Pulls Away in Swing States
Mind you, this election is still very fluid--Obama's lead has broken over the last two weeks and we have five weeks to go--but if the trend continues then Barack Obama will be the next President of the United States.
CNN's latest polling shows Obama leading in Florida, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada and Virginia. Earlier polls showed gains in Michigan as well and put Iowa and Indiana in play. Unlike national polling, which is interesting to read as a general temperature check but meaningless in predicting how the electoral college will vote, state-by-state polling is more accurate and tend to reflect the situation on the ground better than the nationals.
Josh Marshall at TPM predicts one of two likely outcomes: Either a slim McCain win or a BIG Obama victory.
Comments
Minnesota has and never will be a "Swing State"
stupid clueless media
Posted by: solace | October 1, 2008 4:36 PM
While Minnesota has consistently gone Deomcratic in national elections (exceptions being 1972 and 1956 in modern history) I think it's still considered a "swing" state because of the strong showing for Republicans at local and state races, which is factoring in more and more these days as ground campaigns become more and more improtant with the thin margins modern national races have.
Posted by: Derek Phillips | October 1, 2008 5:44 PM
Both parties have had to pour money into MN since 2004: http://www.google.com/search?q=minnesota+swing+state
Posted by: Jake | October 2, 2008 5:44 AM
that has more to do with the fact that the current crop of DFL politicians in Minnesota are pretty awful minus maybe 2 or 3.
i mean Al Franken? honestly? sweet christ.
Posted by: solace | October 2, 2008 3:45 PM
Why you hatin' on Stuart Smalley?
Posted by: Derek Phillips | October 2, 2008 3:56 PM
because i'm good enough, i'm smart enough, and gosh darnit, people like me.
Posted by: solace | October 2, 2008 4:39 PM